Nate Silver: Marriage Equality Ban is Underdog in Maine

FiveThirtyEight
October 1, 2009
Nate Silver re-visits his April analysis of marriage equality bans in all 50 states - and looks again at Maine. "Time to play oddsmaker: I'd lay about 3 to 1 against the [Maine] marriage ban passing. But it's liable to be fairly close -- clearly a winnable campaign for conservatives and a losable one for liberals, especially if the sort of complacency sets in that we saw in California. [Link]